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Expectancy - Monte Carlo Simulator, and
Drawdown - Risk Calculator
 
A perfect addition to any TJS product
 
These Excel-based spreadsheets are able to forecast your long-term trade Expectancy and Drawdown probability.
These easy to use calculators were created with two things in mind: To calculate your potential gains and losses for
any given scenario - Crucial information when building a solid plan and for managing your trading business!
 
 
Expectancy Calculator
Provides a means of quantifying your edge over a series of trades.
Expectancy screenshot
 
Each click of your F9 key will give you a 100-trade random P&L sample - based on the performance criteria you entered.*
 
Hypothetical simulations can also be produced by entering "what-if" scenarios.
 
An Equity Curve Graph is supplied as a visual.
 
 
The concept behind this product is based on Van Tharp's (Author of "Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom") theory of position-sizing.
 
 
Drawdown Calculator
A reduction in account equity from a trade or series of trades.
 
Just input 3-basic figures (sample # of trades, Win %, Risk Amount)*
 
You will then be given a scenario (or likelihood) of how much equity you stand to lose (your Drawdown) based on your input criteria, as well as the number of trades that can statistically go against you. 
 
A quick reference guide is also included to view multiple "Probability" scenarios, at a glance!
 
 
* Performance criteria based on the information displayed in each TJS "Market-Module". 
 
 
Only $39.95 (usd)
Instant Download w/Secure Payment Processing
 
Must have Excel 2002 (or newer). Sorry, no refunds on this product.
 
Excel 2002, 2003     Excel 2007, 2010
     

 

NFA Compliance Rule 2-29

 

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

CFTC Rule 4.41(b)(1)(I)

Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

 

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. ALL RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL. NO IMPLICATION IF BEING MADE THAT ANYONE UTILIZING ANY OF THE TRADING JOURNAL SPREADSHEETTM PRODUCTS HAS OR CAN OBTAIN SUCH PROFITS AND RESULTS.